Language:English
Stevenage v Stockport County FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stevenage (Local)
Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.735%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.92%36.64%36.57%38.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.7042.55%39.87%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stockport County FC (Visit)
Prediction 33.50%2.99fair odd
EV +0.502%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.08%33.46%33.54%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.803.0038.46%35.47%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%29.90%29.89%31.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.2235.71%32.31%32.26%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 36.57%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 33.50%; Draw: 29.92%. For Stockport County FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.502%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -12.95%E -5.44%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -1.25%E -0.462%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.92%EV -3.64%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -6.63%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 13:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.33%EV -6.00%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.35%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.83%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -9.21%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -6.93%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.22%E -4.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.23%E -4.67%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -12.90%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -16.21%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.98% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 33.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 31.00% | -0.7% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |