La scuola delle quote

Stevenage v Stockport County FC

Inizio: 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Finale: Stevenage 0–1 Stockport County FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stevenage (Casa)

Previsione 36.57%2.73quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.462%
Kelly -0.735%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.92%36.64%36.57%38.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.512.502.7042.55%39.87%40.00%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stockport County FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.50%2.99quota equa
EV +0.502%
Vantaggio +0.167%
Kelly +0.251%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.08%33.46%33.54%34.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.822.803.0038.46%35.47%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.92%3.34quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.56%29.90%29.89%31.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.093.103.2235.71%32.31%32.26%31.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:50
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:49
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -12.95%E -5.44%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:54
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -1.25%E -0.462%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.92%EV -3.64%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 13:54
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:44
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:54
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -6.63%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:48
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.33%EV -6.00%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.35%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.83%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:43
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:44
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:44
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:54
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:54
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -9.21%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -6.93%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:55
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:54
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:44
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.22%E -4.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 13:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.23%E -4.67%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -12.90%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -16.21%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.98%3.05I 32.79%NM 33.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 31.00%-0.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 13:55