La escuela de los momios

Stevenage v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Final: Stevenage 0–1 Stockport County FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Predicción 36.57%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.462%
Kelly -0.735%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.92%36.64%36.57%38.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.502.7042.55%39.87%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.50%2.99momio equitativo
EV +0.502%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.251%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.08%33.46%33.54%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.822.803.0038.46%35.47%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.92%3.34momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.56%29.90%29.89%31.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.2235.71%32.31%32.26%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:50
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:49
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -12.95%E -5.44%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:54
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -1.25%E -0.462%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.92%EV -3.64%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 13:54
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:44
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:54
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -6.63%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:48
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.33%EV -6.00%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.35%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.83%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:43
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:44
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:44
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:54
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:54
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -9.21%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -6.93%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:55
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:54
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:44
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.22%E -4.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 13:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.23%E -4.67%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -12.90%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -16.21%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.98%3.05I 32.79%NM 33.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 31.00%-0.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 13:55