L’École des cotes

Stevenage v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : Stevenage 0–1 Stockport County FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 36.57%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.735%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.92%36.64%36.57%38.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.7042.55%39.87%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.50%2.99cote équitable
EV +0.502%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.251%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.08%33.46%33.54%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.822.803.0038.46%35.47%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.92%3.34cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%29.90%29.89%31.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.2235.71%32.31%32.26%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -9.30%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:50
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV +0.502%E +0.167%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:49
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -12.95%E -5.44%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -1.17%E -0.398%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.66%EV -14.05%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -3.52%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -3.85%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -4.52%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:54
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -1.25%E -0.462%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.40%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.92%EV -3.64%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 13:54
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:44
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:54
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -6.63%E -2.13%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:48
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.33%EV -6.00%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.35%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.83%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:43
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:44
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:44
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:44
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.20%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:54
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:54
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -1.98%E -0.739%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -8.88%E -3.26%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:54
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -9.21%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -6.93%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:55
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:54
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.55%E -3.54%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:44
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.22%E -4.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 13:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.23%E -4.67%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -12.90%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -16.21%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.98%3.05I 32.79%NM 33.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 31.00%-0.7%2026-05-09 13:54
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 13:55