语言:简体中文
Stevenage v Luton
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Stevenage (主队)
预测 30.94%3.23公平赔率
EV -1.00%
优势 -0.313%
Kelly -0.455%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
28.92%30.96%30.92%32.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.84%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luton (客队)
预测 41.62%2.40公平赔率
EV -0.951%
优势 -0.400%
Kelly -0.689%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.38
博彩公司预测分布
39.14%41.60%41.63%43.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.42%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.45%3.64公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -0.883%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.53
博彩公司预测分布
26.52%27.44%27.44%28.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.353.353.5331.25%29.84%29.85%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Stevenage (主队)：30.94%；Luton (客队)：41.62%；平局：27.45%。 对于“Luton (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.40。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.38，期望值为-0.951%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -1.00%E -0.313%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 11:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 19:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 03:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.26%EV -6.26%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.94%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -3.12%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -7.23%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.23%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -4.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |