Langue:Français
Stevenage v Luton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stevenage (Local)
Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.313%
Kelly -0.455%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.92%30.96%30.92%32.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.84%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luton (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.62%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.951%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.689%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.14%41.60%41.63%43.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.42%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.52%27.44%27.44%28.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.353.353.5331.25%29.84%29.85%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stevenage (Local) : 30.94% ; Luton (Visiteur) : 41.62% ; Match nul : 27.45%. Pour Luton (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.40. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.38, pour une espérance de -0.951% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -1.00%E -0.313%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 11:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 19:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 03:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.26%EV -6.26%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.94%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -3.12%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -7.23%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.23%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -4.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 06:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 09:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |