StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Stevenage v Luton

Matchstart: 2026-09-10 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Stevenage 2–1 Luton

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Stevenage (Hemma)

Prognos 30.94%3.23rättvist odds
EV -1.00%
Fördel -0.313%
Kelly -0.455%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.92%30.96%30.92%32.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.84%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Luton (Borta)

Prognos 41.62%2.40rättvist odds
EV -0.951%
Fördel -0.400%
Kelly -0.689%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.14%41.60%41.63%43.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.42%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.45%3.64rättvist odds
EV -3.12%
Fördel -0.883%
Kelly -1.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.52%27.44%27.44%28.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.353.353.5331.25%29.84%29.85%28.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Stevenage (Hemma): 30.94%; Luton (Borta): 41.62%; Oavgjort: 27.45%. För Luton (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.40. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.38, med väntevärdet -0.951%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -1.00%E -0.313%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 11:15
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 19:00
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 19:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 08:40
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 08:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 19:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 17:45
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 07:40
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 08:40
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.31%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 03:05
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 03:05
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.26%EV -6.26%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.94%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -3.12%E -0.883%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:20
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -7.23%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -6.57%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.23%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:30
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:15
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 01:04
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 06:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 16:59
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:04
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 20:10
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 19:04
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 17:45
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 10:47
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 10:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -8.86%E -4.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 06:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.44%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 06:05
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.43%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 17:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.68%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -0.951%E -0.400%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 09:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -14.92%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 09:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-09-09 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-09-09 17:16
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%3.3%2026-09-09 17:40