Language:English
Rotherham United v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.24%36.42%36.03%39.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.28%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.01%37.23%37.48%38.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.66%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV -0.832%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.34%26.49%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.453.7533.33%29.03%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 36.10%; Barnsley (Visit): 37.46%; Draw: 26.44%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.832%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.85%EV -1.63%E -0.437%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -5.06%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.12%EV -8.60%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.67%E -6.89%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%EV -10.48%E -4.23%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -15.38%E -4.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -0.832%E -0.222%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |