L’École des cotes

Rotherham United v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Score final : Rotherham United 1–3 Barnsley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Prévision 36.10%2.77cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.24%36.42%36.03%39.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.28%39.22%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.46%2.67cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.01%37.23%37.48%38.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.66%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.832%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.303%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.97%26.34%26.49%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.453.7533.33%29.03%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.85%EV -1.63%E -0.437%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -5.06%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:58
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 14:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.12%EV -8.60%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.67%E -6.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%EV -10.48%E -4.23%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -15.38%E -4.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -0.832%E -0.222%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28%2.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%3.2%2026-04-11 14:00