La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v Barnsley

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Final: Rotherham United 1–3 Barnsley

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 36.10%2.77momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.24%36.42%36.03%39.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.28%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnsley (Visitante)

Predicción 37.46%2.67momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%37.23%37.48%38.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.66%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.44%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.832%
Ventaja -0.222%
Kelly -0.303%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.97%26.34%26.49%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.7533.33%29.03%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.85%EV -1.63%E -0.437%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -5.06%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:58
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 14:00
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.12%EV -8.60%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.67%E -6.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%EV -10.48%E -4.23%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -15.38%E -4.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -0.832%E -0.222%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28%2.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%3.2%2026-04-11 14:00