默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rotherham United v Barnsley

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

最终结果: Rotherham United 1–3 Barnsley

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rotherham United (主队)

预测 36.10%2.77公平赔率
EV -4.34%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -2.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
34.24%36.42%36.03%39.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.552.552.6541.67%39.28%39.22%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Barnsley (客队)

预测 37.46%2.67公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.01%37.23%37.48%38.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.66%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.44%3.78公平赔率
EV -0.832%
优势 -0.222%
Kelly -0.303%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.97%26.34%26.49%28.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.443.453.7533.33%29.03%28.99%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rotherham United (主队):36.10%;Barnsley (客队):37.46%;平局:26.44%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.75,期望值为-0.832%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.34%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.86%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.85%EV -1.63%E -0.437%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -5.06%E -1.93%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.15%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -6.73%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -7.95%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -7.10%E -2.86%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.92%EV -8.31%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.01%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.12%EV -8.60%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.67%E -6.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%EV -10.48%E -4.23%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.80%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -15.38%E -4.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -0.832%E -0.222%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -13.37%E -5.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.28%2.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%3.2%2026-04-11 14:00