Language:English
Reading v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reading (Local)
Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.78%51.46%51.46%53.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.811.8758.14%55.12%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 22.76%4.39fair odd
EV -0.297%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.088%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.66%22.77%22.76%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.034.004.3826.32%24.80%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -0.750%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.77%25.78%26.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.583.8029.41%27.92%27.93%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 51.47%; Notts County (Visit): 22.76%; Draw: 25.76%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.38, with an expected value of -0.297%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 07:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.09%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 11:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 20:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.50%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.297%E -0.068%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.69%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 08:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 08:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 14:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.601%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 11:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -2.12%E -0.493%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.02%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 20:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |