La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Reading v Notts County

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Reading 2–0 Notts County

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading (Local)

Predicción 51.47%1.94momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -4.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.78%51.46%51.46%53.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.811.8758.14%55.12%55.25%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Notts County (Visitante)

Predicción 22.76%4.39momio equitativo
EV -0.297%
Ventaja -0.068%
Kelly -0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.66%22.77%22.76%23.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.034.004.3826.32%24.80%25.00%22.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.750%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.97%25.77%25.78%26.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.583.583.8029.41%27.92%27.93%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Reading (Local): 51.47%; Notts County (Visitante): 22.76%; Empate: 25.76%. Para Notts County (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.39. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.38, con un valor esperado de -0.297%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 07:19
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 04:05
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.09%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 11:56
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.50%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.297%E -0.068%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.69%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 08:04
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 14:01
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.601%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 13:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 20:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:56
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -2.12%E -0.493%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.02%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 20:26
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:13
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:45