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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Reading v Notts County

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

最终结果： Reading 2–0 Notts County

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Reading (主队)

预测 51.47%1.94公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -2.00%
Kelly -4.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
49.78%51.46%51.46%53.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.811.811.8758.14%55.12%55.25%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Notts County (客队)

预测 22.76%4.39公平赔率
EV -0.297%
优势 -0.068%
Kelly -0.088%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.38

博彩公司预测分布
21.66%22.77%22.76%23.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.034.004.3826.32%24.80%25.00%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.76%3.88公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -0.552%
Kelly -0.750%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
23.97%25.77%25.78%26.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.583.583.8029.41%27.92%27.93%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Reading (主队)：51.47%；Notts County (客队)：22.76%；平局：25.76%。 对于“Notts County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.39。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.38，期望值为-0.297%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 07:19
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 04:05
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.09%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 11:56
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.50%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.297%E -0.068%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.69%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 08:04
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 14:01
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.601%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 13:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 20:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:56
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -2.12%E -0.493%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.02%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 20:26
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:13
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:45