L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Reading v Notts County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Reading 2–0 Notts County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Reading (Local)

Prévision 51.47%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.78%51.46%51.46%53.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.811.811.8758.14%55.12%55.25%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.76%4.39cote équitable
EV -0.297%
Avantage -0.068%
Kelly -0.088%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.66%22.77%22.76%23.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.034.004.3826.32%24.80%25.00%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.76%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.750%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.97%25.77%25.78%26.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.583.583.8029.41%27.92%27.93%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Reading (Local) : 51.47% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 22.76% ; Match nul : 25.76%. Pour Notts County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.39. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.38, pour une espérance de -0.297% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 07:19
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 04:05
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.09%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 11:56
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.50%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.297%E -0.068%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.69%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 08:04
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.94%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.78%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 14:01
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.601%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.14%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 13:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 20:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:56
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.67%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.36%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -2.12%E -0.493%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.02%EV -7.77%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 04:05
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.50%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 20:26
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.95%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 14:13
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.39%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-09-18 14:45