La scuola delle quote

Port Vale v Luton

Inizio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Port Vale (Casa)

Previsione 30.90%3.24quota equa
EV +8.16%
Vantaggio +2.33%
Kelly +3.26%
Crescita +0.266%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.55%30.74%31.04%32.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.003.5035.71%32.76%33.33%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luton (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.49%2.47quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.16%40.66%40.36%45.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.272.282.3852.36%44.11%43.86%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.60%3.50quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -0.550%
Kelly -0.776%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%28.61%28.59%29.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.233.203.4333.33%30.99%31.25%29.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV +8.16%E +2.33%K +3.26%G +0.266%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -14.97%E -7.13%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -22.66%E -11.86%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-27 11:54
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -16.99%E -8.29%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.74%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 15:25
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.056%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -1.89%E -0.550%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 14:05
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:00
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:01
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:14
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:00
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:15
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:15
1xBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -7.27%E -3.18%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -8.08%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:16
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:15
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:14
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:16
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:15
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:00
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 14:15
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15