L’École des cotesFrançais
Port Vale v Luton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Port Vale (Local)
Prévision 30.90%3.24cote équitable
EV +8.16%
Avantage +2.33%
Kelly +3.26%
Croissance +0.266%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%30.74%31.04%32.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.003.5035.71%32.76%33.33%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Luton (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.49%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.16%40.66%40.36%45.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.272.282.3852.36%44.11%43.86%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.60%3.50cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.550%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.61%28.59%29.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.203.4333.33%30.99%31.25%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV +8.16%E +2.33%K +3.26%G +0.266% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -14.97%E -7.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -22.66%E -11.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-27 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -16.99%E -8.29%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.74%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -1.89%E -0.550%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -7.27%E -3.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -8.08%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |