مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Port Vale v Luton
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Port Vale (المضيف)
التنبؤ 30.90%3.24السعر العادل
EV +8.16%
الأفضلية +2.33%
Kelly +3.26%
النمو +0.266%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.55%30.74%31.04%32.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.053.003.5035.71%32.76%33.33%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Luton (الضيف)
التنبؤ 40.49%2.47السعر العادل
EV -3.63%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -2.63%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.16%40.66%40.36%45.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.272.282.3852.36%44.11%43.86%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.60%3.50السعر العادل
EV -1.89%
الأفضلية -0.550%
Kelly -0.776%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.43
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.11%28.61%28.59%29.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.233.203.4333.33%30.99%31.25%29.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV +8.16%E +2.33%K +3.26%G +0.266% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -14.97%E -7.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -22.66%E -11.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-27 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -16.99%E -8.29%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.74%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -1.89%E -0.550%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -7.27%E -3.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -8.08%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |