La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Luton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 30.90%3.24momio equitativo
EV +8.16%
Ventaja +2.33%
Kelly +3.26%
Crecimiento +0.266%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%30.74%31.04%32.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.003.5035.71%32.76%33.33%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luton (Visitante)
Predicción 40.49%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.16%40.66%40.36%45.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.272.282.3852.36%44.11%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.60%3.50momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.550%
Kelly -0.776%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.61%28.59%29.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.203.4333.33%30.99%31.25%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV +8.16%E +2.33%K +3.26%G +0.266% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -14.97%E -7.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -22.66%E -11.86%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-27 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -16.99%E -8.29%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.74%E -0.807%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 15:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV +0.126%E +0.039%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -1.89%E -0.550%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.27%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -7.27%E -3.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -8.08%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.68%E -3.37%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.63%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.04%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |