默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers

开赛时间: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Port Vale (主队)

预测 17.64%5.67公平赔率
EV +1.41%
优势 +0.245%
Kelly +0.296%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.36%17.63%17.69%18.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.265.295.7521.05%19.00%18.90%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bolton Wanderers (客队)

预测 59.33%1.69公平赔率
EV -4.48%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -7.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
57.35%59.34%59.26%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.561.561.6165.79%64.12%64.10%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.03%4.34公平赔率
EV -0.270%
优势 -0.062%
Kelly -0.081%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
21.83%23.04%23.06%24.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.044.034.3326.32%24.75%24.81%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Port Vale (主队):17.64%;Bolton Wanderers (客队):59.33%;平局:23.03%。 对于“Port Vale (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.67。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.75,对应+1.41%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.41%E +0.245%K +0.296%G +0.004%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle🎯5.51I 18.15%NM 17.40%EV -2.83%E -0.513%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.05%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 04:19
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:39
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:08
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:28
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.88%E -0.713%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:50
Neds🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:20
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -6.71%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -7.18%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:18
BetRivers🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:19
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:54
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:19
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:45
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -16.23%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:50
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:45
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.74%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-03-21 14:54