La scuola delle quote

Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Port Vale (Casa)

Previsione 17.64%5.67quota equa
EV +1.41%
Vantaggio +0.245%
Kelly +0.296%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.36%17.63%17.69%18.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.265.295.7521.05%19.00%18.90%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bolton Wanderers (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.33%1.69quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -2.78%
Kelly -7.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.35%59.34%59.26%60.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.561.561.6165.79%64.12%64.10%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.03%4.34quota equa
EV -0.270%
Vantaggio -0.062%
Kelly -0.081%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.83%23.04%23.06%24.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.044.034.3326.32%24.75%24.81%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.41%E +0.245%K +0.296%G +0.004%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle5.51I 18.15%NM 17.40%EV -2.83%E -0.513%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.05%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 04:19
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:39
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:08
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:28
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.88%E -0.713%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:50
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:20
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
1xBet5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -6.71%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -7.18%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:18
BetRivers5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:19
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:54
BetUS5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:19
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:45
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 11:29
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 11:29
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -16.23%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:50
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:45
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.74%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-03-21 14:54