Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Port Vale (Local)

Prévision 17.64%5.67cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.245%
Kelly +0.296%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.36%17.63%17.69%18.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.265.295.7521.05%19.00%18.90%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.33%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -7.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%59.34%59.26%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.561.561.6165.79%64.12%64.10%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.03%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.270%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.081%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.83%23.04%23.06%24.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.044.034.3326.32%24.75%24.81%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Port Vale (Local) : 17.64% ; Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur) : 59.33% ; Match nul : 23.03%. Pour Port Vale (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.67. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.41%E +0.245%K +0.296%G +0.004%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle🎯5.51I 18.15%NM 17.40%EV -2.83%E -0.513%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.05%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 04:19
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:39
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:08
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:28
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.88%E -0.713%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:14
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:50
Neds🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:20
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:14
1xBet🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -6.71%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -7.18%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:18
BetRivers🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:19
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:54
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:19
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:45
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -16.23%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:50
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-03-21 14:45
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.74%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-03-21 14:54