La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 17.64%5.67momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.245%
Kelly +0.296%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.36%17.63%17.69%18.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.265.295.7521.05%19.00%18.90%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 59.33%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -7.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.35%59.34%59.26%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.561.561.6165.79%64.12%64.10%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.03%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.83%23.04%23.06%24.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.044.034.3326.32%24.75%24.81%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.41%E +0.245%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.40%EV -2.83%E -0.513%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.05%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 04:19 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.88%E -0.713%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 04:20 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| betPARX | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 1xBet | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -6.71%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -7.18%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| BetRivers | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| BetUS | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -16.23%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.74% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |