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Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Port Vale (Хозяева)
Прогноз 17.64%5.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.41%
Преимущество +0.245%
Kelly +0.296%
Рост +0.004%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.36%17.63%17.69%18.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.755.265.295.7521.05%19.00%18.90%17.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Bolton Wanderers (Гости)
Прогноз 59.33%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.48%
Преимущество -2.78%
Kelly -7.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.35%59.34%59.26%60.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.561.561.6165.79%64.12%64.10%62.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.03%4.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.270%
Преимущество -0.062%
Kelly -0.081%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.83%23.04%23.06%24.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.044.034.3326.32%24.75%24.81%23.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Port Vale (Хозяева): 17.64%; Bolton Wanderers (Гости): 59.33%; Ничья: 23.03%. Для исхода «Port Vale (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.67. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.41%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +1.41%E +0.245%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.40%EV -2.83%E -0.513%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.05%EV -4.19%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -0.270%E -0.062%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 04:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.00%E -0.546%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.88%E -0.713%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.02%E -2.28%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -2.11%E -0.497%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -4.77%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.53%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -6.71%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -7.18%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.57%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.41%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -8.29%E -1.59%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.26%E -0.777%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -11.33%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.23%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%EV -6.72%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.87%E -1.97%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -11.82%E -2.36%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.04%E -5.18%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.17%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -16.23%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.48%E -3.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.79% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.74% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |