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Plymouth Argyle v Stockport County FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 41.40%2.42fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.24%41.58%41.25%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.212.252.3449.50%45.24%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stockport County FC (Visit)
Prediction 31.81%3.14fair odd
EV +0.201%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.093%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.54%31.70%31.92%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.903.1535.71%33.84%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.72%26.83%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.503.6130.30%28.86%28.57%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 41.40%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 31.81%; Draw: 26.79%. For Stockport County FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.201%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -14.73%E -7.15%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -14.73%E -7.15%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.69%EV -3.27%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -16.38%E -8.11%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -16.38%E -8.11%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.03%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.15%EV -7.43%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -8.36%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |