La escuela de los momios

Plymouth Argyle v Stockport County FC

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Predicción 42.33%2.36momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -3.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.11%42.30%42.40%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.38%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 31.21%3.20momio equitativo
EV -4.82%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.51%31.31%31.13%32.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.0536.36%34.29%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV -4.73%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%26.39%26.47%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.473.453.6029.41%28.78%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 13:33
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.01%E -2.35%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 05:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.01%E -2.35%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 05:19
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.36%EV -6.45%E -2.92%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.44%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 12:54
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 13:32
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 13:35
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 17:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.63%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 14:19
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.58%EV -7.30%E -3.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.31%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 12:52
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.82%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 05:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 07:34
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 14:24
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 14:55
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 14:53
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 17:15
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.99%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-22 15:20
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -10.26%E -4.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -11.07%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-22 18:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 10:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.11%E -5.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 05:49
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -13.22%E -6.45%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -7.37%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-22 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%11.7%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-22 19:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-22 19:05