Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Score final : Plymouth Argyle 1–3 Stockport County FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 41.40%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.24%41.58%41.25%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.212.252.3449.50%45.24%44.44%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.81%3.14cote équitable
EV +0.201%
Avantage +0.064%
Kelly +0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.54%31.70%31.92%33.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.962.903.1535.71%33.84%34.48%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.79%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -0.906%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%26.72%26.83%27.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.463.503.6130.30%28.86%28.57%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Plymouth Argyle (Local) : 41.40% ; Stockport County FC (Visiteur) : 31.81% ; Match nul : 26.79%. Pour Stockport County FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.14. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.15, soit une espérance positive de +0.201%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:29
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -14.73%E -7.15%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 13:29
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -14.73%E -7.15%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.69%EV -3.27%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 13:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -16.38%E -8.11%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -16.38%E -8.11%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.03%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:39
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.15%EV -7.43%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -8.36%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:38
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:44
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:48
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:34
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:45
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:40
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-08-15 13:45