Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle v Stockport County FC

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 1–3 Stockport County FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Previsão 41.40%2.42odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.24%41.58%41.25%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.212.252.3449.50%45.24%44.44%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Previsão 31.81%3.14odd justa
EV +0.201%
Vantagem +0.064%
Kelly +0.093%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.54%31.70%31.92%33.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.962.903.1535.71%33.84%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.49%26.72%26.83%27.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.463.503.6130.30%28.86%28.57%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 41.40%; Stockport County FC (Visitante): 31.81%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Stockport County FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.14. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.201%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:29
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV +0.201%E +0.064%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -14.73%E -7.15%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 13:29
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -14.73%E -7.15%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -2.98%E -0.977%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.69%EV -3.27%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 13:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -16.38%E -8.11%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -16.38%E -8.11%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:29
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.16%E -2.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.03%E -2.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:39
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.15%EV -7.43%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -8.36%E -2.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:45
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -3.13%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:38
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:44
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:48
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:34
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.75%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -15.14%E -7.39%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -8.39%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.34%E -3.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.54%E -0.983%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:45
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.93%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-15 13:40
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-08-15 13:45