Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 56.59%1.77fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.41%56.57%56.50%57.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.55%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 20.80%4.81fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.05%20.81%20.75%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.414.404.6723.81%22.69%22.73%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.39%22.61%22.75%24.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.004.3326.67%24.80%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 56.59%; Barnsley (Visit): 20.80%; Draw: 22.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -2.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.76%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.40%EV -4.54%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.615%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.06%EV -3.44%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.29%E -0.707%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 06:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |