Idioma:Español
Plymouth Argyle v Barnsley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Predicción 56.59%1.77momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.41%56.57%56.50%57.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.55%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barnsley (Visitante)
Predicción 20.80%4.81momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -0.783%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.05%20.81%20.75%21.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.414.404.6723.81%22.69%22.73%21.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.61%4.42momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.480%
Kelly -0.624%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.39%22.61%22.75%24.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.034.004.3326.67%24.80%25.00%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 56.59%; Barnsley (Visitante): 20.80%; Empate: 22.61%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.33, con un valor esperado de -2.08%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.76%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.40%EV -4.54%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.615%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.06%EV -3.44%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.29%E -0.707%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 06:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |