Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle v Barnsley

Início: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 3–0 Barnsley

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Previsão 56.59%1.77odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -4.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.41%56.57%56.50%57.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.55%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barnsley (Visitante)

Previsão 20.80%4.81odd justa
EV -2.87%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -0.783%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.05%20.81%20.75%21.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.414.404.6723.81%22.69%22.73%21.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.61%4.42odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.480%
Kelly -0.624%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.39%22.61%22.75%24.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.034.004.3326.67%24.80%25.00%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 56.59%; Barnsley (Visitante): 20.80%; Empate: 22.61%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.42. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.33, com valor esperado de -2.08%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 11:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.76%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.40%EV -4.54%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 11:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 13:49
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:35
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 10:42
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 10:44
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 11:39
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.615%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.06%EV -3.44%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 08:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.29%E -0.707%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 17:16
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:49
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 16:46
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 08:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%2.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%2.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%2.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-09-09 15:05