Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Plymouth Argyle 3–0 Barnsley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.41%56.57%56.50%57.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.55%60.61%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.80%4.81cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -0.783%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.05%20.81%20.75%21.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.414.404.6723.81%22.69%22.73%21.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.61%4.42cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -0.624%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.39%22.61%22.75%24.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.034.004.3326.67%24.80%25.00%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Plymouth Argyle (Local) : 56.59% ; Barnsley (Visiteur) : 20.80% ; Match nul : 22.61%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.42. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.33, pour une espérance de -2.08% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -3.24%E -1.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -4.93%E -2.94%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 11:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.41%EV -6.06%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -15.20%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.76%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.40%EV -4.54%E -0.989%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 11:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 13:49
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 08:35
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 10:42
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 10:44
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 11:39
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -2.87%E -0.615%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.06%EV -3.44%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 08:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.29%E -0.707%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.33%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.94%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 17:16
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:49
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 16:46
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 08:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%2.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%2.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%2.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-09-09 15:05