Language:English
Mansfield Town v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.18%60.18%60.16%62.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.551.6166.67%64.29%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 16.56%6.04fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +0.755%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 6.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.25%16.54%16.62%18.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.475.506.2820.00%18.30%18.18%15.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV +0.757%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.227%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%23.28%23.22%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.983.954.3326.32%25.15%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 60.17%; Northampton Town (Visit): 16.56%; Draw: 23.27%. For Northampton Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +3.98%E +0.634%K +0.755%G +0.030% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.96%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.18%EV -4.29%E -0.743%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.78%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +0.757%E +0.175%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.07%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.39%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |