L’École des cotes

Mansfield Town v Northampton Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 60.17%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -5.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.18%60.18%60.16%62.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.551.6166.67%64.29%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Northampton Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.56%6.04cote équitable
EV +3.98%
Avantage +0.634%
Kelly +0.755%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 6.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.25%16.54%16.62%18.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.475.506.2820.00%18.30%18.18%15.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV +0.757%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%23.28%23.22%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.803.983.954.3326.32%25.15%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +3.98%E +0.634%K +0.755%G +0.030%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:25
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 13:54
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 13:54
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:14
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.96%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.18%EV -4.29%E -0.743%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.78%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:29
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +0.757%E +0.175%K +0.227%G +0.002%7.9%2026-03-21 14:14
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:25
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:24
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:55
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:14
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:14
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:24
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:25
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:24
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:25
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:55
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.07%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.39%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:53
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.57%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-03-21 14:54