Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Mansfield Town v Northampton Town

Начало: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Mansfield Town (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.17%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.12%
Преимущество -1.94%
Kelly -5.12%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.18%60.18%60.16%62.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.561.551.6166.67%64.29%64.52%62.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Northampton Town (Гости)

Прогноз 16.56%6.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.98%
Преимущество +0.634%
Kelly +0.755%
Рост +0.030%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.28

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.25%16.54%16.62%18.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.475.506.2820.00%18.30%18.18%15.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 23.27%4.30справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.757%
Преимущество +0.175%
Kelly +0.227%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.40%23.28%23.22%24.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.803.983.954.3326.32%25.15%25.32%23.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mansfield Town (Хозяева): 60.17%; Northampton Town (Гости): 16.56%; Ничья: 23.27%. Для исхода «Northampton Town (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.04. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.28, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.98%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +3.98%E +0.634%K +0.755%G +0.030%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 13:54
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:14
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.96%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.18%EV -4.29%E -0.743%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.78%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:29
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +0.757%E +0.175%K +0.227%G +0.002%7.9%2026-03-21 14:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:24
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:14
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:24
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:25
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.07%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.39%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:04
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:54
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:53
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.57%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-03-21 14:54