La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mansfield Town v Northampton Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mansfield Town (Local)
Predicción 60.17%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -5.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.18%60.18%60.16%62.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.551.6166.67%64.29%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Northampton Town (Visitante)
Predicción 16.56%6.04momio equitativo
EV +3.98%
Ventaja +0.634%
Kelly +0.755%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.25%16.54%16.62%18.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.475.506.2820.00%18.30%18.18%15.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV +0.757%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.227%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.40%23.28%23.22%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.803.983.954.3326.32%25.15%25.32%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV +3.98%E +0.634%K +0.755%G +0.030% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -1.34%E -0.315%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.46%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -1.10%E -0.260%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.652%E -0.109%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.31%E -0.391%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -5.76%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.96%E -0.683%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.96%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.18%EV -4.29%E -0.743%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.78%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -4.79%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -2.27%E -0.540%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV +0.757%E +0.175%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.74%E -6.49%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.93%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.59%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.07%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -3.12%E -1.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.11%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.39%EV -13.90%E -2.67%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:04 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -15.55%E -3.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.21%E -3.44%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.87% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |