Language:English
Mansfield Town v Luton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 31.66%3.16fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.75%31.68%33.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.1237.04%33.95%33.90%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luton (Visit)
Prediction 42.10%2.38fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%42.03%42.08%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.32%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -0.840%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.302%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%26.23%26.24%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.7833.33%28.53%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 31.66%; Luton (Visit): 42.10%; Draw: 26.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.78, with an expected value of -0.840%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52%EV -1.21%E -0.386%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.84%E -0.593%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -4.85%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -0.840%E -0.222%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.90%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 20:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.59%E -5.52%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -21.30%E -7.10%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -14.50%E -5.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |