La escuela de los momiosMansfield Town v Luton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mansfield Town (Local)
Predicción 31.66%3.16momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.386%
Kelly -0.569%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%31.75%31.68%33.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.953.1237.04%33.95%33.90%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luton (Visitante)
Predicción 42.10%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%42.03%42.08%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.32%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.23%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.840%
Ventaja -0.222%
Kelly -0.302%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%26.23%26.24%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.7833.33%28.53%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52%EV -1.21%E -0.386%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.84%E -0.593%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -4.85%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -0.840%E -0.222%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:48 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.90%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:39 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 20:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| 888sport | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.59%E -5.52%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -21.30%E -7.10%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -14.50%E -5.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |