L’École des cotes

Mansfield Town v Luton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Score final : Mansfield Town 2–2 Luton

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 31.66%3.16cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.386%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%31.75%31.68%33.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1237.04%33.95%33.90%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Luton (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.10%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.93%42.03%42.08%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.32%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.23%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.840%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.302%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%26.23%26.24%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7833.33%28.53%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52%EV -1.21%E -0.386%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:20
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.84%E -0.593%K -0.875%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:50
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:19
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -4.85%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -0.840%E -0.222%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:40
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:48
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:19
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:39
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:39
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.90%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:39
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:39
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 20:59
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.59%E -5.52%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -21.30%E -7.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:40
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -14.50%E -5.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-18 13:50