A Escola das Odds

Mansfield Town v Luton

Início: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 2–2 Luton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Previsão 31.66%3.16odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.386%
Kelly -0.569%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.02%31.75%31.68%33.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.952.953.1237.04%33.95%33.90%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luton (Visitante)

Previsão 42.10%2.38odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.93%42.03%42.08%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.202.3047.62%45.32%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.23%3.81odd justa
EV -0.840%
Vantagem -0.222%
Kelly -0.302%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.96%26.23%26.24%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.513.503.7833.33%28.53%28.57%26.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52%EV -1.21%E -0.386%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:20
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.84%E -0.593%K -0.875%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -6.95%E -3.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:50
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:19
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -4.85%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.46%EV -0.840%E -0.222%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:40
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:48
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.11%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:19
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:39
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -6.27%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.03%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:39
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.96%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:19
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.90%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:39
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.94%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:39
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:40
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 20:59
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.17%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -8.80%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.59%E -5.52%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -21.30%E -7.10%K -10.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.75%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:40
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -14.50%E -5.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-18 13:50