Language:English
Mansfield Town v Luton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.618%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%30.83%30.80%32.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.2036.36%33.51%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luton (Visit)
Prediction 43.24%2.31fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.36%43.24%43.26%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.27%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.94%3.86fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.93%25.94%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.603.8030.30%28.17%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 30.82%; Luton (Visit): 43.24%; Draw: 25.94%. For Mansfield Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.36%E -0.425%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.99%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -6.29%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.43%E -0.378%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |