Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mansfield Town v Luton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 14:00 UTC

Score final : Mansfield Town 5–2 Luton

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 30.82%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.618%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.20%30.83%30.80%32.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.983.003.2036.36%33.51%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Luton (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.24%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.36%43.24%43.26%44.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.27%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.512%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%25.93%25.94%28.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.603.8030.30%28.17%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mansfield Town (Local) : 30.82% ; Luton (Visiteur) : 43.24% ; Match nul : 25.94%. Pour Mansfield Town (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.20, pour une espérance de -1.36% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.36%E -0.425%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.99%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:45
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:30
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:44
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:30
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:55
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:54
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:30
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:30
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:54
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -6.29%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 13:25
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:54
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 13:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 13:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:45
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:55
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 13:54
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 13:25
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 13:30
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.43%E -0.378%K -0.512%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 08:45
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:20
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-08-30 13:55