Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mansfield Town (Local): 30.82%; Luton (Visitante): 43.24%; Empate: 25.94%. Para Mansfield Town (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.24. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.20, con un valor esperado de -1.36%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.36%E -0.425%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -14.40%E -4.36%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.52%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.99%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.33%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -13.11%E -3.91%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.44%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.98%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -6.29%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -9.07%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.43%E -0.378%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.22%E -3.90%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.22%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.69%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.51%E -3.05%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 13:19 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |