Language:English
Leyton Orient v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leyton Orient (Local)
Prediction 40.36%2.48fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.26%40.39%40.38%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.282.302.4047.17%43.86%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 30.85%3.24fair odd
EV +0.249%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.111%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.76%30.80%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.003.2534.48%32.79%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%28.85%28.82%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.4033.33%30.99%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 40.36%; Stevenage (Visit): 30.85%; Draw: 28.80%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.249%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.44%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -2.84%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.13%EV -5.25%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.78%E -2.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 01:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.45%E -6.81%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.45%E -6.81%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -7.59%E -3.31%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -4.99%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.23%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 01:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 04:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 07:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 19:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 01:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-17 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 09:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 08:05 |