A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Leyton Orient v Stevenage

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 1–0 Stevenage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Previsão 40.36%2.48odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.26%40.39%40.38%42.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.282.302.4047.17%43.86%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stevenage (Visitante)

Previsão 30.85%3.24odd justa
EV +0.249%
Vantagem +0.077%
Kelly +0.111%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.88%30.76%30.80%32.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.053.003.2534.48%32.79%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.80%3.47odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.613%
Kelly -0.868%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.39%28.85%28.82%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.253.4033.33%30.99%30.77%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leyton Orient (Local): 40.36%; Stevenage (Visitante): 30.85%; Empate: 28.80%. Para Stevenage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.24. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.249%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.44%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -2.84%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.13%EV -5.25%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:05
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.78%E -2.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 01:14
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.45%E -6.81%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.45%E -6.81%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -7.59%E -3.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -4.99%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.23%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 01:14
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 14:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 15:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 09:30
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 04:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 09:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 07:56
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:41
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 17:34
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 01:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-17 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:05
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:05
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 10:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 13:30
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 08:05