L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Leyton Orient v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Leyton Orient 1–0 Stevenage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prévision 40.36%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.26%40.39%40.38%42.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.282.302.4047.17%43.86%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.85%3.24cote équitable
EV +0.249%
Avantage +0.077%
Kelly +0.111%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.88%30.76%30.80%32.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.003.2534.48%32.79%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.80%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.613%
Kelly -0.868%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.39%28.85%28.82%30.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.253.4033.33%30.99%30.77%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leyton Orient (Local) : 40.36% ; Stevenage (Visiteur) : 30.85% ; Match nul : 28.80%. Pour Stevenage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.249%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +0.249%E +0.077%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.44%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -2.84%E -0.900%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.13%EV -5.25%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 14:05
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.78%E -2.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 01:14
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -13.64%E -6.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.45%E -6.81%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.45%E -6.81%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.59%EV -7.59%E -3.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -4.99%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.23%EV -8.42%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 01:14
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -5.57%E -2.38%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 14:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 15:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 09:30
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 04:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 09:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 07:56
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 19:41
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 17:34
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 01:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-17 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:05
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:05
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 10:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -2.08%E -0.613%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.28%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 13:30
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-09-18 08:05