Language:English
Leyton Orient v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leyton Orient (Local)
Prediction 46.59%2.15fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.57%46.53%46.50%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.0952.36%49.69%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV -0.612%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.35%26.26%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7930.30%28.69%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.820%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%27.11%27.24%28.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.53%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 46.59%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 26.22%; Draw: 27.19%. For Mansfield Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.79, with an expected value of -0.612%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.612%E -0.162%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -8.38%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-14 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.61%E -4.96%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.53%E -2.76%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-14 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.44%E -6.15%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-14 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 18:30 |