L’École des cotes

Leyton Orient v Mansfield Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Leyton Orient 0–0 Mansfield Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prévision 46.59%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.57%46.53%46.50%47.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.0952.36%49.69%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mansfield Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.22%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.612%
Avantage -0.162%
Kelly -0.219%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%26.35%26.26%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.493.503.7930.30%28.69%28.57%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -0.820%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%27.11%27.24%28.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.53%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.612%E -0.162%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -8.38%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:19
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 17:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:20
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 17:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.61%E -4.96%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.53%E -2.76%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.44%E -6.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-14 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-04-14 18:30