La escuela de los momios

Leyton Orient v Mansfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 0–0 Mansfield Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Predicción 46.59%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.57%46.53%46.50%47.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.0952.36%49.69%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 26.22%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.612%
Ventaja -0.162%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%26.35%26.26%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.493.503.7930.30%28.69%28.57%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.820%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%27.11%27.24%28.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.53%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.612%E -0.162%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -8.38%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:19
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 17:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:20
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 17:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.61%E -4.96%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.53%E -2.76%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.44%E -6.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-14 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-04-14 18:30