A Escola das Odds

Leyton Orient v Mansfield Town

Início: 2026-04-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 0–0 Mansfield Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Previsão 46.59%2.15odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.57%46.53%46.50%47.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.002.0952.36%49.69%50.00%47.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Previsão 26.22%3.81odd justa
EV -0.612%
Vantagem -0.162%
Kelly -0.219%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.09%26.35%26.26%28.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.493.503.7930.30%28.69%28.57%26.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.19%3.68odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.592%
Kelly -0.820%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.40%27.11%27.24%28.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.53%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.612%E -0.162%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -8.38%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 18:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -4.02%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:20
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 18:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 18:29
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.01%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:30
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 18:30
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 18:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 17:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -5.89%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 18:20
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.74%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.66%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 18:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 18:19
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 18:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 17:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:29
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 17:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -14.36%E -4.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:29
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:20
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.97%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.91%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.93%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-14 18:29
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.46%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.13%E -0.592%K -0.820%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 17:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.61%E -4.96%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.53%E -2.76%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 18:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.22%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.01%E -5.77%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.84%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.44%E -6.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-14 17:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-14 18:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-04-14 18:30